Below are my predictions for the 2016 season from my model based on 5,000 simulations. It contains each sides average ladder position, finals and top 4 probabilities, average and median number of wins for the season, and 95 % and 50% confidence intervals of wins for the season.
Best bets are in yellow.
From this it appears that the best bets are:
- North Melbourne to make the top 4 and top 8.
- Melbourne and St Kilda to make the top 8 and top 4.
- Geelong and West Coast to make the top 8.
- Western Bulldogs to make the top 4.
This will be updated before the start of the season.
AFL Predictions 